![]() ![]() “When we think about the past and the future, we engage deliberative mind, improving our ability to make a more rational decision” (p. Merton’s list of norms for collaboration in the scientific community: “Communism (data belong to the group), Universalism (apply uniform standards to claims and evidence, regardless of where they come from), Disinterestedness (vigilance against potential conflicts that can influence the group’s evaluation), and Organized Skepticism (discussion among the group to encourage engagement and dissent)” (p. Effective truthseeking groups can model their engagement after sociologist Robert K. We need others to help us seek the truth about the things we can control and evaluate decisions honestly and critically – we need a “truthseeking pod” to improve our decision-making – but we need to select our pod strategically, with certain things in mind (pp. When we view our decisions as “bets,” we account for uncertainty and tend to be more open-minded about alternatives and possibilities. Experience is essential to expertise, but learning from outcomes is also key – always accounting for the fact that outcomes are never 100% luck or 100% skill. 73).īet to Learn: Fielding the Unfolding Future. Wanna Bet? “Acknowledging that decisions are bets based on our beliefs, getting comfortable with uncertainty, and redefining right and wrong are integral to a good overall approach to decision-making” (p. Embrace uncertainty and re-orient your idea of what it means to be wrong. You can make the wrong call and end up with a good result. You can make a smart decision and end up with a bad result. Skill and luck are both involved in decision making. ![]() Thinking in Bets helps readers move toward objectivity, accuracy, and open-mindedness. Using the lessons from years at the poker table and also insight and theory from philosophers, scientists, and popular culture, Duke gives us the tools to make thoughtful and realistic decisions in today’s uncertain world. In her book Thinking in Bets, Annie Duke draws from her years as a world champion poker player to describe a thoughtful, objective strategy for decision-making. We may not always have complete control over the outcomes, but we can learn to excel at the decision-making process.
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